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April 28, 2007
Caution Brings Volatility Back
to Indian Markets


Mumbai
Even though a key Indian share market index breached the 14,000-point mark for the first time since Feb 22, volatility returned during the week ended Friday as sentiments were weakened by worries over inflation and the general performance of other markets.

In the ensuing sessions, analysts do not foresee any major change in sentiments, but say some stocks may perform well on the back of robust corporate results for the last quarter for 2006-07 fiscal, ended March 31.

"Essentially what we saw during the week, especially Friday, was a major bout of profit taking after some major gains over the past nine sessions. What prevented a correction earlier was excellent results from bluechips," said an analyst.

"In the ensuing sessions, too, we don't expect any major changes in the market movement as investors are not expected to make any fresh commitments in their existing portfolios," the analyst, who work with a leading brokerage, added.

During the week, the sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange ended marginally higher by 11.17 percent, or 0.08 percent, at 13,908.58 points, after breaching the 14,000 mark during intra-day trading Monday.

The major reason for the marginalized increase, despite a rise in the index for four out of the five trading sessions, was the drop of 320.30 points, or 2.25 percent Friday, when the key index closed at 13,908.58 points.

The robust results reported by Reliance Industries and Bharti Airtel had little effect. Nevertheless, the Sensex was still ruling at a healthy 1,025 points, or 7.95 percent, over the past month, data available with the exchanged showed.

The market had started on a positive note Monday, when the Sensex gained 30.92 points, or 0.22 percent, over the previous day's close at 13,897.41 points - but not before touching an intra-day high of 14,046.52 points.

With the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) keeping key rates unchanged in its monetary and credit policy for 2007-08, the barometer index rose 208.39 points, or 1.5 percent Tuesday at 14,136.72 points.

The markets were up once again Wednesday by 81.05 points, or 0.57 percent, at 14,217.7 points, followed by a marginal rise of 11.11 points, or 0.08 percent Thursday, before Friday's crash.

Data available with the markets watchdog Securities and Exchange Board of India showed that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net buyers to the extent of $568.5 million during the week under review.

The only day when they were net sellers was on Tuesday when they sold equities worth $15.60 million. Even domestic funds remained net buyers on each of the five trading days, the data showed. 

IANS | April 28, 2007

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